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:: Volume 14, Number 53 (Summer 1396 2017) ::
QEER 2017, 14(53): 35-60 Back to browse issues page
Estimating the Optimal Rate of Risk Hedge and the Difference that Optimal Hedging Makes in the Natural Gas Market
ms. zahra ansari ardali 1, Dr mir hooseyn musavi2, Dr hamid kordbacheh2
1- md alzahra university , Zansari1609@gmail.com
2- Associate Professor alzahra university
Abstract:   (61 Views)
One characteristic of natural gas markets is frequent price swings, which create a price risk that needs to be managed through appropriate hedging strategies.  This study attempts to estimate an optimal hedging option.   We use the information provided by the stock exchange for future contracts of between one and four months for the period 2000-2016. We apply the OLS, VECM -GARCH and BEKK-GARCH methods to compare the risk born with or without hedging using futures contracts. We find that the use of futures contracts is justified.  We notice that the longer the time frame of future contracts, dynamic models suggest an increased rate of hedging.
JEL Classification: A23, Q5, B22, T96
Keywords: futures, hedge rate risk, effectiveness, econometric models OLS,
VECM -GARCH and BEKK-GARCH.
 
Keywords: futures, hedge rate risk, effectiveness, econometric models OLS, VECM -GARCH and BEKK-GARCH.
Full-Text [PDF 852 kb]   (44 Downloads)    
Type of Study: paper | Subject: Energy Economic
Received: 2016/12/18 | Accepted: 2017/05/22 | Published: 2017/09/20
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ansari ardali Z, musavi M H, kordbacheh H. Estimating the Optimal Rate of Risk Hedge and the Difference that Optimal Hedging Makes in the Natural Gas Market. QEER. 2017; 14 (53) :35-60
URL: http://iiesj.ir/article-1-797-en.html
Volume 14, Number 53 (Summer 1396 2017) Back to browse issues page
فصلنامه مطالعات اقتصاد انرژی Quarterly Energy Economics Review
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