[Home ] [Archive]   [ فارسی ]  
:: Main :: About :: Current Issue :: Archive :: Search :: Submit :: Contact ::
Main Menu
Home::
Journal Information::
Articles archive::
For Authors::
For Reviewers::
Registration::
Contact us::
Site Facilities::
اصول اخلاق نشریه::
اصول اخلاق نشریه::
::
Search in website

Advanced Search
..
Receive site information
Enter your Email in the following box to receive the site news and information.
..
:: Volume 10, Issue 40 (Vol. 10-Spring93 2014) ::
QEER 2014, 10(40): 39-64 Back to browse issues page
Investigating Granger Causality Between the crude oil price and the gold price With emphasis on non-linear Markov-switching approach
Abstract:   (10452 Views)

Major influence the crude oil price and the gold price on the world economy and its importance in economic growth and development, This study is to investigate the granger causality relationship between the crude oil price and the gold price by using monthly data over the period of 2000:1-2012:8. Time series analysis techniques have been used which include unit root test, BDS، Tsay and RESET test, Nonlinear Markov switching causality test. The finding indicate that the optimized of model to study MSIAH (3) -VAR(3) was selected. The results indicate that the model with consider to three different regimes, Unidirectional causality running from the crude oil price to the gold price in first regimes, While there exists bidirectional causality between the crude oil price and the gold price in second regimes, and there is not exists causality between the crude oil price and the gold price in third regimes. The empirical findings of this paper, The beneficial implications for investors and Policy makers needs to recognize the exact effects of relationship between the crude oil price and the gold price are provided.

Keywords: Oil Price, Gold price, Markov switching causality
Full-Text [PDF 747 kb]   (2508 Downloads)    
Type of Study: paper | Subject: Oil-Market
Received: 2013/01/2 | Accepted: 2013/08/19 | Published: 2014/07/31 | ePublished: 2014/07/31
Add your comments about this article
Your username or Email:

CAPTCHA


XML   Persian Abstract   Print


Download citation:
BibTeX | RIS | EndNote | Medlars | ProCite | Reference Manager | RefWorks
Send citation to:

Investigating Granger Causality Between the crude oil price and the gold price With emphasis on non-linear Markov-switching approach. QEER 2014; 10 (40) :39-64
URL: http://iiesj.ir/article-1-66-en.html


Rights and permissions
Creative Commons License This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
Volume 10, Issue 40 (Vol. 10-Spring93 2014) Back to browse issues page
فصلنامه مطالعات اقتصاد انرژی Quarterly Energy Economics Review
Persian site map - English site map - Created in 0.08 seconds with 37 queries by YEKTAWEB 4645